Climate Science Double-Speak

A Quick Note from Kip Hansen   A quick note for the amusement of the bored but curious. While in search of something else, I ran across this enlightening page from the folks at UCAR/NCAR [The University Corporation for Atmospheric Research/The National Center for Atmospheric Research — see pdf here for more information]: “What is…

Two weeks in the life of a sunspot

Public Release: 4-Aug-2017 From Eurekalert                NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center VIDEO: On July 5, 2017, the Solar Dynamics Observatory watched an active region — an area of intense and complex magnetic fields — rotate into view. During its 13-day trip across… view more   Credit: NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center/SDO/SOHO/CCMC/SWRC/Genna Duberstein, producer On July 5, 2017,…

NOAA’s Climate.gov Says Natural Wetlands, Tropical Agriculture Responsible For Methane Increases, Not Oil and Gas

From Western Wire by Michael Sandoval July 18, 2017 “Agricultural and wetland emissions” from the planet’s tropical areas, not oil and gas activities in the United States, are more than likely responsible for a post-2007 global increase in methane levels, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate.gov. But regulating or mitigating those methane…

NOAA Updates Sea Surface Temperature Dataset

From NOAA Key dataset helps scientists understand Earth’s climate An update to a set of widely used ocean temperature data is now available from NOAA’s NCEI. Along with the public release, an article describing the 5th version of the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSSTv5) dataset has been published in the Journal of Climate (link…

NOAA Jumps The Shark In Tampa Bay

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach [see Update at the end] I thought I might write about how I research a subject. Over at Dr. Judith’s excellent website, she periodically puts out a list of interesting papers that she has come across. This time it was “Week In Review: Water Edition”. She gave a link to…

NOAA Jumps The Climate Shark

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The Guardian, that endless source of climate activism, expoundeth as follows: 15,000 sq km of coral reef could be lost in current mass bleaching, say scientists Noaa predicts third-ever global bleaching event could cause a 6% global reduction in coral reefs in less than two years. A massive coral bleaching event…

Is NOAA Wrong?

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach On another post here on Watts Up With That, a commenter pointed out that NOAA says that September 2014 was the warmest September ever on record. The commenter asked, “Is NOAA  wrong?” Sadly, as near as I can tell the answer is “Quite possibly”. Here is the NOAA graphic in question, showing their…

Who are you going to believe, my B-44 or your lyin eyes?

NCDC needs to incorporate information into their metadata database from four sources that they currently ignore and/or keep from the public. Guest essay by John Slayton Southern California’s San Gabriel Mountains have long been a natural habitat for scientists.  Some of their activities are well known–the observatory on Mt. Wilson and Michelson’s measurement of the…

Virginia is for warmers? Data says no.

A new tool for climate data visualization is showcased David Walton writes to tell us about a satirical piece by Mark Steyn – titled Virginia is for Warmers I was blessedly out of the country on Tuesday, so I’m belatedly catching up on post-election analysis. But I see that self-proclaimed Nobel laureate Michael Mann is hailing Virginia’s…

Good news from NOAA: coral reefs can adapt to warming

NOAA is dialing back the alarm a bit with realizations that nature has equipped these organisms with adaptation strategies that have served them over the millennia. New study suggests coral reefs may be able to adapt to moderate climate change Coral reefs may be able to adapt to moderate climate warming, improving their chance of…

Climate Hash Rehashed

Guest essay by Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger Yesterday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued a press release announcing the publication of its “State of the Climate 2012” report. The global media, predictably, are all over it, loving the gloomsaying. None of it is new. The NOAA report is simply…

NOAA predicts active 2013 Atlantic hurricane season

From NOAA: In its 2013 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting an active or extremely active season this year. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA’s Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook says there is a 70 percent likelihood of 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher),…

Global Warming Over Land Is Real: CU-Boulder, NOAA Study

Image Credit: Compo et al., 2013 From the Huffington Post: The thermometers got it right. The Earth is warming, another study is reporting. Climate scientists recognize that changes in weather observation stations’ immediate surroundings — such as neighboring trees being replaced by heat-absorbing concrete — can eventually throw data from such stations into question. But…

Improbable Maximum Precipitation

Guest post by Willis Eschenbach There’s a new study out from NOAA called “Probable maximum precipitation (PMP) and climate change”, paywalled of course, which claims that global warming will lead to a 20%-30% increase in “probable maximum precipitation”. The abstract says: Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) is the greatest accumulation of precipitation for a given duration…

NOAA’s Ever-Changing Definition of La Niña Years

UPDATE: I’ve added two illustrations to the end of the post. At the request of blogger “Kurt in Switzerland”, I plotted a comparison of the new and old versions of the Oceanic NINO Index data and posted it in a comment. I also plotted the difference, which is much more interesting. Both graphs have been…

Bob Tisdale shows how ‘Forecast the Facts” Brad Johnson (and now Dr. Heidi Cullen) are fecklessly factless about ocean warming and the blizzard

UPDATE2: Gosh. Shouldn’t Dr. Cullen know more than McKibben and Brad Johnson?!  (h/t to Marc Morano) – Anthony Here’s the SST anomaly map she cites as proof in her post about the issue at Climate Central. Note that actual temperatures in the ocean are quite cold. Dear Chicken Little: The Sky Is Falling (It’s Snowing)…

New ebook: The Manmade Global Warming Challenge

Guest post by Bob Tisdale INTRODUCTION Many bloggers are very active in the climate change debate around the globe. In advance of an expected intensification of that debate this year, I’ve written a new essay about the natural warming of the global oceans. It’s titled “The Manmade Global Warming Challenge”. That essay and an introduction…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2013-01-12 (January 12, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is…

Another glitch on the NCDC State of the Climate report

Is NOAA Misleading the Public by Including Tropical Cyclones in its 2012 Climate Extremes Index Ranking? by Bob Tisdale IF NOT, THE PRESS AND PUBLIC WILL CERTAINLY GET THE WRONG IDEA The Summary Information of the NOAA State of the Climate report reads with respect to extremes: The U.S. Climate Extremes Index indicated that 2012 was…

NOAA Mixing Their Niños

Guest post by Paul Homewood In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year will be the “hottest La Niña” year on record. But is it a La Niña year?…

NOAA’s ‘Janus moment’ – while claiming ‘The American public can be confident in NOAA’s long-standing surface temperature record’, they fund an experiment to investigate the effects of station siting and heat sinks/sources on temperature data

NOAA’s impersonation of the two faced god Janus just proved my point about station siting issues with their actions that speak louder than words. While there’s all this caterwauling about my PBS News hour interview, and my statements were apparently so threatening that NOAA itself asked PBS to publish a rebuttal in their apologetic story…

Errors in Estimating Mean Temperature – Part II

Guest post by Lance Wallace Last week (Aug 30), Anthony Watts posted my analysis of the errors in estimating true mean temperatures due to the use of the (Tmin+Tmax)/2 approach widely used in thousands of temperature measuring stations worldwide: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/08/30/errors-in-estimating-temperatures-using-the-average-of-tmax-and-tmin-analysis-of-the-uscrn-temperature-stations/ . The errors were determined using the 125 stations in NOAA’s recently-established US Climate Reference…

An ‘inconvenient result’ – July 2012 not a record breaker according to data from the new NOAA/NCDC U.S. Climate Reference Network

I decided to do myself something that so far NOAA has refused to do: give a CONUS average temperature for the United States from the new ‘state of the art’ United States Climate Reference Network (USCRN). After spending millions of dollars to put in this new network from 2002 to 2008, they are still giving…

Keeping track of NOAA’s ENSO data changes

The NOAA Weekly ENSO Sea Surface Temperature Indices Webpage Has Changed Location By Bob Tisdale There has been concern expressed recently around the blogosphere that NOAA hasn’t updated their weekly El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature-based indices webpage since May 16, 2012. I use the NOAA NOMADS website (alternate NOAA computer here) for my sea…

More data fiddling – this time in NOAA’s ENSO data

Plot below showing ONI -vs- Aqua Channel 5 Temperature from lukewarmplanet (not Tisdale) to illustrate what he is talking about in his upcoming book. – Anthony Comments on NOAA’s Recent Changes to the Oceanic NINO Index (ONI) Guest post by Bob Tisdale As many of you are aware, I’m writing another book. The working title is…

NOAA/NWS under fire – ‘misappropriated $43 million dollars’

Report: National Weather Service misappropriated $43 million By Isolde Raftery, msnbc.com Jack Hayes, the director of the National Weather Service, stepped down Friday in response to an investigation that top officials at the weather service had misappropriated $43.8 million by giving bonuses and extensions to contractors without proper justification. The Office of the Inspector General…

NOAA predicts a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season

Contact: Chris Vaccaro FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 301-713-0622 May 24, 2012 NOAA predicts a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season Anniversary of Hurricane Andrew underscores necessity to prepare every year Conditions in the atmosphere and the ocean favor a near-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin this season, NOAA announced today from Miami at its Atlantic Oceanographic…

Trenberth’s missing heat still missing: new paper shows a near flat ocean temperature trend – 0.09°C over the past 55 years

A new paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters describes how the oceans have warmed only 0.09°C over the last 55 years, from 1955-2010. Don’t let the red line fool you, read on. Key Points A strong positive linear trend in exists in world ocean heat content since 1955 One third of the observed warming…

Warming in the USHCN is mainly an artifact of adjustments

Dr. Roy Spencer proves what we have been saying for years, the USHCN (U.S. Historical Climatology Network) is a mess compounded by a bigger mess of adjustments. ============================================================== USHCN Surface Temperatures, 1973-2012: Dramatic Warming Adjustments, Noisy Trends Guest post by Dr. Roy Spencer PhD. Since NOAA encourages the use the USHCN station network as the…

Shakun Redux: Master tricksed us! I told you he was tricksy!

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach The quote above is from Lord of the Rings, an exchange between Gollum and Smeagol, and it encapsulates my latest results from looking into the Shakun 2012 paper, “Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation” (paywalled, at Nature hereinafter Shakun2012). I discussed the paper in my…