Climate Science Double-Speak

A Quick Note from Kip Hansen   A quick note for the amusement of the bored but curious. While in search of something else, I ran across this enlightening page from the folks at UCAR/NCAR [The University Corporation for Atmospheric Research/The National Center for Atmospheric Research — see pdf here for more information]: “What is…

Sunday sketch – BBC splits from the Met Office

Josh writes:  In the news today (The Sunday Times “BBC pulls plug on Met Office”) we learn that the BBC is not going to renew the Met Office’s contract to provide weather forecasts. Interesting. Maybe we will see Piers Corbyn giving the British weather in the future. Cartoons by Josh

Guest post: “Climate variability research: did the sceptics make us do it?” – Professor Richard Betts

This is a guest post by Prof. Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts at the Met Office, (IPCC AR4 and AR5 lead author) about Lewandowsky, Oreskes et al’s forthcoming paper, which suggests that climate skeptics influence climate scientists.  Richard’s post starts now.   Stephan Lewandowsky and co-authors have published an Executive Summary of their forthcoming paper*…

New paper: climate models short on ‘physics required for realistic simulation of the Earth system’

I’m pleased to have had a chance to to review this new paper just published in the Journal of Climate: An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models Suckling, Emma B., Leonard A. Smith, 2013: An Evaluation of Decadal Probability Forecasts from State-of-the-Art Climate Models*. J. Climate, 26, 9334–9347. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00485.1 The lead…

Ooops – Met Office decadal model forecast for 2004-2014 falls flat

‘The Pause’ claims another victim. Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/trend:2004 Paul Matthews writes: The skillful predictions of climate science Smith et al (2007): 0.3°C in 10 years In 2007, a team of climate scientists from the UK Met Office led by Doug Smith wrote a paper “Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model”, published…

An impartial look at global warming…

Guest essay by M.S.Hodgart (Visiting Reader Surrey Space Centre University of Surrey) The figure presented here is a new graph of the story of global warming – and cooling. The graph makes no predictions and should be used only to see what has been happening historically. The boxed points in the figure are the ‘raw…

Global Warming = Climate Change

Guest Essay by Ed Hoskins This short essay questions the actions to combat Global Warming / Climate Change from three points of view: The Temperature Context Man-made CO2 emissions 1965 -2012. The Significance and Influence of Carbon Dioxide CO2 The Temperature Context Mankind has thrived and developed in the last 10,000+ years, the period of…

Newsbytes: Science Is About Evidence, Not Consensus

From the GWPF and Dr. Benny Peiser Met Office Gets A Roasting Over ‘Wet Summers’ Forecast Science does not respect consensus. There was once widespread agreement about phlogiston (a nonexistent element said to be a crucial part of combustion), eugenics, the impossibility of continental drift, the idea that genes were made of protein (not DNA)…

UK press commission rules on “The Great Green Con”

It seems reporter David Rose has been cleared of any press ethics issues related to his publication of “The Great Green Con” in the UK Mail on Sunday. It seems his article upset (as the Press Commission described) “an environmentalist and the author of greenerblog.blogspot.com” and a complaint was lodged about the accuracy of the…

A data review to supplement the UK Met Office ‘Disappointing Weather Meeting’

A graphical review of 14.5 years disappointing UK weather Guest essay by Neil Catto A meeting today (18th March 2013) took place at the UK Met Office HQ in Exeter. See the report here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2013/meeting-unusual-seasons It was arranged to include the best climatologists and meteorologists to gain better understanding of the ‘disappointing UK weather over…

An Open Letter To Ed Davey

By Paul Homewood Ed Davey, the UK Secretary of State for Energy, has made a speech attacking the press for reporting the views of climate sceptics, saying “But some sections of the press are giving an uncritical campaigning platform to individuals and lobby groups. This is not the serious science of challenging, checking and probing.…

Coldest Spring In England Since 1891

By Paul Homewood Originally, it was thought to be the coldest spring since 1962. Winter? Teesdale in County Durham blanketed in snow on May 23 in what is likely to be Britain’s coldest spring since 1962 http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2333312/UK-weather-Spring-coldest-50-years-average-temperature-just-6C.html According to the Central England Temperature Series, England has just experienced its coldest Spring since 1891. The average…

Met Office Hadley Centre and Climatic Research Unit HadCRUT4 and CRUTEM4 Temperature Data Sets Adjusted/Corrected/Updated… Can You Guess The Impact?

Image Credit: Met Office Hadley Centre By Just The Facts, Werner Brozek and Walter Dnes The Met Office Hadley Centre and the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, have adjusted/corrected/updated their HadCRUT4 & CRUTEM4 data sets, the update occurred with the April data recently released. There does not appear to have been…

Temperature change in perspective

Guest post by Ed Hoskins The UK Met Office long term Central England Temperature record[1] has kept a continuous and consistent data set since the 1660s. It appears to be reliable and to have maintained its quality. It has not been adjusted as have so many other official temperature records.Although the CET record covers only…

Newsbytes: Climate Scientists Turn Skeptical As Climate Predictions Fail

 From The GWPF by Dr. Benny Peiser British Government Abandons Climate Change Education For Young Children The Mail on Sunday today presents irrefutable evidence that official predictions of global climate warming have been catastrophically flawed.The graph on this page blows apart the ‘scientific basis’ for Britain reshaping its entire economy and spending billions in taxes…

Another climate billboard

Of course we all know about that other ill-fated unabomber billboard last year that went over like a lead radiosonde balloon, but I like this one by CFACT (minus the date controversy of course). Drive by this! Science tells us that there is nothing out of the ordinary about today’s weather. There have always been…

The Winter Of 1947

“Climate disruption” before the current lunacy of “CO2 caused extreme weather” era By Paul Homewood The Great Freeze of 1963 was the coldest winter in the UK for over 200 years. However, the winter of 1947, while not as cold, was one of the snowiest. The UK Met Office describe what the conditions were like.…

A New Kind Of Rain

By Paul Homewood Verity Jones, over at Digging in the Clay, reminds me of an interview with Lord Smith, the politician formerly known as Chris Smith, in the Sunday Telegraph. According to Smith, a former Environment Secretary and now head of the Environment Agency Last year taught us that weather patterns are getting more extreme,”…

Japan’s ‘Cool Hand Luke’ moment for surface temperature

At NASA’s Climate 365, there is an interesting story posted with this statement and a graph: Some say scientists can’t agree on Earth’s temperature changes Each year, four international science institutions compile temperature data from thousands of stations around the world and make independent judgments about whether the year was warmer or cooler than average. “The…

Matt Ridley: A Lukewarmer’s Ten Tests

What it would take to persuade me that current climate policy makes sense Guest post by Matt Ridley I have written about climate change and energy policy for more than 25 years. I have come to the conclusion that current energy and climate policy is probably more dangerous, both economically and ecologically, than climate change…

Expert predicts ‘Monsoon Britain’

Guest post by Paul Homewood h/t Robuk A study, by Professor Stuart Lane of Durham University back in 2008, appears to have been remarkably percipient. Written just after the extremely wet summer of 2007, the study suggests that, far from summers in the UK becoming drier as most climate models predict, they are likely to…

Newsbytes – Global Warming Downgraded, James Lovelock Recants

A doubly whammy this week as Gaia author Lovelock rails against windfarms and environmentalists, and climate sensitivity has been scaled back. From Dr. Benny Peiser at The GWPF: Global warming is likely to be less extreme than claimed, researchers said yesterday. The most likely temperature rise will be 1.9C (3.4F) compared with the 3.5C predicted…

Finally, a climate forecast model that works?

Note: Short term predictions are relatively easy, it remains to be seen if this holds up over the long term. I have my doubts. – Anthony Guest post by Frank Lemke The Global Warming Prediction Project is an impartial, transparent, and independent project where no public, private or corporate funding is involved. It is about…

Newsbytes – New Met Office Botch

From Dr. Benny Peiser at The GWPF Climate Scientists Get The Stratosphere Wrong How did the Met Office get their data so wrong? Well there’s the rub. You see, the methodology used to develop the Met Office SSU product was never published in the peer-reviewed literature, and certain aspects of the original processing “remain unknown.”…

Has the Met Office committed fraud?

Guest post by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The truth is out. No amount of hand-wringing or numerical prestidigitation on the part of the usual suspects can any longer conceal from the world the fact that global warming has been statistically indistinguishable from zero for at least 18 years. The wretched models did not predict that.…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2013-01-12 (January 12, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is…

Met Office Accused Of Misleading Public Over Rainfall Trends

From Dr. Benny Peiser at The GWPF Questions Over Met Office Rain & Drought Predictions The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier-than-average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months. With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England…

Met Office Statistics Questioned

Is there any statistical evidence that global temperatures have changed since 1997 ? Guest post by Clive Best The UK Met Office seem determined to stand by their claim made in  response to the David Rose article in the Mail on Sunday: ‘The linear trend from August 1997 (in the middle of an exceptionally strong…

NOAA’s ’15 year statement’ from 2008 puts a kibosh on the current Met Office ‘insignificance’ claims that global warming flatlined for 16 years

While the Met Office and others try to spin their way out of their current 16 year flatlining of warming, it is important to remember a few points made in the past. In the much ballyhooed 2008 NOAA “State of the Climate” report on climate change they state, concerning the climate models, something quite relevant to…

How not to measure temperature, part 93: the hottest weather station in the UK cited by the BBC has some interesting exposure

Over at Tallbloke’s Talkshop, moderator Tim Channon wondered about this regularly hot station reported in the news: An often appearing name in the BBC news as the hottest place in the country is Gravesend but the true location of the Met Office thermometer is a mystery. By chance I followed up today and discovered a…