McIntyre on IPCC’s switching the pea under the thimble

Fixing the Facts – By Steve McIntyre Figure 1.4 of the Second Order Draft clearly showed the discrepancy between models and observations, though IPCC’s covering text reported otherwise. I discussed this in a post leading up to the IPCC Report, citing Ross McKitrick’s article in National Post and Reiner Grundmann’s post at Klimazweiberl. Needless to…

Confidence tricks between IPCC AR4 and AR5

Patrick Carlberg writes: I can’t assess the validity of the values from the climate models presented in AR5 (mostly due to lack of time). But I can tell you there are tricks used in the way they interpret the statistical inference. One of the key points in the new IPCC report is that the CO2…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2013-09-21 (September 21, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: A difficult question for the climate science community is, how is it that this broad community of researchers — full of bright and thoughtful people — allowed intolerant activists who…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2013-08-31 (August 31, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is absurd.—Voltaire [H/t J.A. Curry & P.J. Webster] ################################################### Number of the Week: 22 ################################################### THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, Executive Vice…

Clanging of the bells on extreme weather change

Guest essay by Bob Fernley-Jones Our taxpayer funded broadcaster here in Oz, the ABC, has recently aired a scary story in its “science” TV show Catalyst, entitled Climate Extremes. (For the brave, the video and web page plus comments is here). For extra emphasis on TV there were repeated shots of several heat stressed old…

Is it time to prosecute the IPCC for fraud?

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The IPCC, having spent almost two months working out how to respond to my complaint about a notoriously bogus graph in its Fourth Assessment Report, has found itself not guilty. In doing so, it is wilfully perpetuating a fraud, which will now be reported to the prosecuting authorities. My complaint…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

The Week That Was: 2013-06-01 (June 1, 2013) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week:. The great tragedy of Science – the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact. Thomas Huxley ################################################### Number of the Week: $6.40/mcf ################################################### THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala,…

Monckton asks IPCC for correction to AR4

4 May 2013 IPCC Secretariat, Geneva Gentlemen, Request for correction of a serious inaccuracy in the contribution of Working Group 1 to the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report   As an Expert Reviewer for the Fifth Assessment Report, 2013, and in accordance with the IPCC Protocol for Addressing Possible Errors in IPCC Assessment Reports, I am…

It’s the Sun stupid – The minor significance of CO2

Guest post by Dr. Norman Page 1 The IPCC’s Core Problem The IPCC  – Al Gore based  Anthropogenic Global Warming scare has driven global  Governments’ Climate and Energy Policies since the turn of the century. Hundreds of billions of dollars have been wasted on uneconomic renewable energy  and CO2 emission control schemes based on the notions  that…

Dr. David Whitehouse on the AR5 figure 1.4

Dr. David Whitehouse of the GWPF expounds on the “prime statistic of global warming” graph and its failure, as first reported here. The Leaked AR5 Report And Global Temperature Whatever one’s view about the leaking of the draft IPCC AR5 report it does make fascinating reading, and given the public scrutiny it is now receiving…

Hypocritical psychology professor Lewandowsky: Climate science is, like, super-transparent, only with lots of “confidential” documents; climate science is like gravity

From Tom Nelson, it was too good not to repost, especially when Lewandowsky hands out moral lessons while being immoral himself with his labeling skeptics as “moon landing deniers” with a gussed up survey and statistical slight of hand that turned out to be a an academic scam used as a tool to dehumanize people…

Making Hay of sea level rise estimates

People send me stuff. You may recall this story from last week that raised a number of eyebrows due to the claims made within it by author William Hay. Dave Burton decided to take him to task. So far no response. From: David Burton To: William W. Hay Cc: Ted Carmichael; Anthony Watts Sent: Sun,…

Is Climate Change the Number One Threat to Humanity?

Guest post by Indur M. Goklany I have a new paper in Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, which asks the question, Is Climate Change the Number One Threat to Humanity? This is threshold question to which many who believe global warming constitutes an existential threat to humanity would answer in the affirmative, although as the…

What else did the ‘97% of scientists’ say?

Guest Post by Barry Woods I wonder just how many politicians, environmentalists or scientists who use the phrase ‘97% of scientists’ (or those who more carefully use ‘active climate scientists’) to give weight to their arguments regarding climate change to the public, have any idea of the actual source of this soundbite.   Perhaps a few may say the ‘Doran Survey’, which is…

Don’t worry about the ickle birdies

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley in Rio de Janeiro “BUT what about the ickle birdies?” wailed the ancient, off-blonde representative of the planet’s indigenous peoples in the shapeless, grimy, crumpled eco-sackcloth shift that is de rigueur this season among the female of the species here at the shapeless, grimy, crumpled Rio conference center. “Don’t you…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: This is the way the world ends This is the way the world ends This is the way the world ends Not with a bang but a whimper. T.S. Eliot – The Hollow Men, 1925 ################################################### Number of…

New modeling analysis paper by Ross McKitrick

Dr. McKitrick’s new paper with Lise Tole is now online at Climate Dynamics. He also has an op-ed in the Financial Post on June 13. A version with the citations provided is here. Part II is here online, and the versions with citations is here. **McKitrick, Ross R. and Lise Tole (2012) “Evaluating Explanatory Models…

The Very Model Of A Modern Major Problem

Reposted from The GWPF by Dr. David Whitehouse There has been some discussion about a paper in Nature Climate Change by Gleckler et al that says they detect “a positive identification (at the 1% level) of an anthropogenic fingerprint in the observed upper-ocean temperature changes, thereby substantially strengthening existing detection and attribution evidence.” What they’ve done…

Lower Climate Sensitivity Estimates: New Good News

Guest post by Chip Knappenberger, republished with permission from Master Resource (now on WUWT’s blogroll) “A collection of research results have been published in the peer-reviewed scientific literature in recent months that buoys my hopes for a low-end climate sensitivity.” One of the key pieces to the anthropogenic climate/environment change puzzle is the magnitude of…

Climate Change Impacts In The USA are Already (NOT) Happening

by Craig Loehle, Ph.D. Many government reports by NASA, NOAA, EPA, USFWS, USFS, USDA and other agencies mention that climate change impacts are already observable in the USA. This is discussed in the context of endangered species conservation, forest resource assessment, future water availability, disaster planning, agriculture policy, etc. I have read many of these…

Day of reckoning draws nearer for IPCC

According to Dr. Clive Best, A key prediction from the 2007 IPCC WG1 report fails statistical tests. AR4 figure for long term predictions for each scenario Abstract: Global temperatures measured since 2005 are incompatible with the IPCC model predictions made in 2007 by WG1 in AR4. All subsequent temperature data from 2006 to 2011 lies between…

Cites and Signs of the times

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been involved in climate science for a while now, this is not my first rodeo. And I’ve read so many pseudo-scientific studies that I’m starting to develop a list of signs that indicate when all is not well with a particular piece of work. One sign is whether, how,…

Shocker – Ken Caldeira resigns as IPCC AR5 lead author

(via Tom Nelson) Ken Caldeira resigns as IPCC lead author, saying: “…it is not clear how much additional benefit there is to having a huge bureaucratic scientific review effort under UN auspices…” New Directions for the Intergovernmental Climate Panel – NYTimes.com Clearly, at the outset, the early IPCC reports played an important role showing that…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

Quote of the Week: We’ll fund additional research in cutting-edge methods of producing ethanol, not just from corn but from wood chips and stalks or switch grass. Our goal is to make this new kind of ethanol practical and competitive within six years.” George W. Bush, 2006 State of the Union address – – –…

The CRU crew says: “what we really meant was…”

In all the hubub last week, I missed this press release from the University of East Anglia. In it, they try to explain away some of the first highlighted email phrases. But we’ve all moved well beyond those now. The rebuttals seems almost comical now in light of the deeper context discovered since then. From…

Shades of Foster Grant

Tamino Misses The Point And Attempts To Distract His Readers By Bob Tisdale The obvious intent of my recent post “17-Year And 30-Year Trends In Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies: The Differences Between Observed And IPCC AR4 Climate Models” was to illustrate the divergence between the IPCC AR4 projected Sea Surface Temperature trends and the trends of…

Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup

Quote of the Week: “If a man is offered a fact which goes against his instincts, he will scrutinize it closely, and unless the evidence is overwhelming, he will refuse to believe it. If, on the other hand, he is offered something which affords a reason for acting in accordance to his instincts, he will…

The GWPF Responds To New IPCC Report

Natural Variability To Dominate Weather Events Over Coming 20-30 Years Press Release London: For many decades to come, and probably longer, mankind’s influence on the frequency of extreme weather events will be insignificant. According to a preliminary report released by the IPCC, there will be no detectable influence of mankind’s influence on the Earth’s weather…

Tisdale on model initialization in wake of the leaked IPCC draft

Should Climate Models Be Initialized To Replicate The Multidecadal Variability Of The Instrument Temperature Record During The 20th Century? Guest post by Bob Tisdale The coupled climate models used to hindcast past and project future climate in the IPCC’s 2007 report AR4 were not initialized so that they could reproduce the multidecadal variations that exist in…

Greenpeace and the IPCC – The Edenhofer Excuse

Guest post by Shub Niggurath It has been a recurring pattern that the most dramatic of conclusions arrived by the IPCC, are shown to arise from unsubstantiated or exaggerated claims in literature put out by environmental pressure groups. The latest addition to the list is the Greenpeace-generated factoid that ‘80% of the world’s energy demand…