2013 Was Not A Good Year For Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Climate Warming Change Disruption Weirding Ocean Acidification Extreme Weather, etc.

Image Credit: European Space Agency – CryoSat By WUWT regular “Just The Facts” For anyone keeping track, 2013 has not been a good year for those who propagate the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) Narrative, also know by a litany of increasingly nebulous buzzwords including “Climate Change“, “Climate Disruption”“, “Global Weirding”, “Ocean Acidification”, and “Extreme…

Climate Craziness of the Week: only the ‘cooler’ models are wrong – the rest say 4ºC of warming by 2100

From the University of New South Wales and Dr. Steven Sherwood: “Climate sceptics like to criticise climate models for getting things wrong, and we are the first to admit they are not perfect,” said Sherwood. “But what we are finding is that the mistakes are being made by the models which predict less warming, not…

Monckton: Of meteorology and morality

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley To those of us who have dared to question on scientific and economic grounds the official story on global warming, it is a continuing surprise that there is so little concern about whether or not that story is objectively true among the many who have swallowed it hook, Party Line…

Claim: Dark Money Conspiracy – star “deniers” are scripted performers

Prof. Brulle (Drexel Uni, Phil) claims IRS helped track secret donations Guest essay by Eric Worrall Prof. Robert Brulle, an environmental sociologist of Drexel University, Phil., has published a study allegedly accusing “deniers” of being sock puppets in the pay of “dark money” from big oil. http://www.hngn.com/articles/20257/20131223/study-reveals-source-of-dark-money-in-climate-change-denial-studies.htm According to the story, Prof. Brulle enlisted IRS…

‘Twas the nightmare before Christmas

By Joe Bastardi ‘Twas the week before Christmas, when all through the news, There were reports of record cold, so many were confused. Told global warming is why we should care, And that the point of no return would soon be here. The children were bombarded with tales of dread, While visions of climate disasters…

Whither went the warmer weather?

17 years, 3 months with no global warming By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley The Long Pause just got three months longer. Last month, the RSS monthly global mean lower-troposphere temperature anomalies showed no global warming for exactly 204 months – the first dataset to show the full 17 years without warming specified by Santer as…

Dave’s Top Ten Reasons Why the Oil Industry Doesn’t Spend its Billions on Disproving the Junk Science of AGW

Guest post by David Middleton In my Internet “debates” with warmists, I occasionally encounter challenges like this… We don’t yet not know the real global impact man has on the environment. It may be negligible. What we do know is that if the oil companies with their billions could disprove this manmade warming they could…

IPCC’s Report on Climate Change: Myths & Realities

A World Meteorological Organization insider’s view of the IPCC report. Guest essay by Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy Formerly Chief Technical Advisor – WMO/UN [A note to readers: English is not Dr. Reddy’s primary language. I have made some edits to his original manuscript for clarity, but some readers may find the writing style a bit…

A Theory Ready for Extinction

Don’t worry too much over those warmist predictions that millions of species will soon be lost to climate change. Judging by their methods it is the doomsayers who are the real dodos Guest essay by Dr. David Stockwell Will climate change really cause species extinctions? It’s not a simple question to synthesise the connections between…

Mail wars: Heartland -vs- the AMS

There is a bit of a row that has developed over the recent American Meteorological Society survey of its membership on cause of climate change that gave a surprising result of only 52% of survey respondents answering Yes: Mostly human.   The Heartland Institute sent out an email advising its friends, members, and associates of…

Ooops – Met Office decadal model forecast for 2004-2014 falls flat

‘The Pause’ claims another victim. Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2004/trend:2004 Paul Matthews writes: The skillful predictions of climate science Smith et al (2007): 0.3°C in 10 years In 2007, a team of climate scientists from the UK Met Office led by Doug Smith wrote a paper “Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model”, published…

On CO2 residence times: The chicken or the egg?

While some model based claims say that CO2 residence times may be thousands of years, a global experiment in measurable CO2 residence time seems to have already been done for us. By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley Is the ~10-year airborne half-life of 14CO2 demonstrated by the bomb-test curve (Fig. 1, and see Professor Gösta Pettersson’s…

The 97% consensus myth – busted by a real survey

We’ve all been subjected to the incessant “97% of scientists agree …global warming…blah blah” meme, which is nothing more than another statistical fabrication by John Cook and his collection of “anything for the cause” zealots. As has been previously pointed out on WUWT, when you look at the methodology used to reach that number, the…

Warsaw COP19 report– there’s something in the water

Andy Pattullo reports, November 14, 2013, Warsaw This week UN delegates opened the current Warsaw Climate change Conference with hopes of engineering a renewed agreement to curb human-driven global warming just as effective as the last, however a new and catastrophic issue is emerging which threatens to derail the impressive progress made to date. Having…

What makes the warmist-skeptic fight go on and on?

Elevated from a comment by Doug Proctor November 14, 2013 at 10:00 am I’ve been thinking about what makes the warmist-skeptic fight go on and on. What I have noted is the constant difference in how each side places its emphasis, and that this shows up in its speech. Specifically, the skeptics use declarative, as…

Busted messaging: CFC’s cause warming AND cooling

From the make up your freaking minds department comes this oopsy juxtaposition of alarmist messaging. In an attempt to explain “the pause”, researchers are now grasping for explanations: Human actions that were not intended to limit the greenhouse effect have had large effects on slowing climate change. The two world wars, the Great Depression and…

Virginia is for warmers? Data says no.

A new tool for climate data visualization is showcased David Walton writes to tell us about a satirical piece by Mark Steyn – titled Virginia is for Warmers I was blessedly out of the country on Tuesday, so I’m belatedly catching up on post-election analysis. But I see that self-proclaimed Nobel laureate Michael Mann is hailing Virginia’s…

Submission to EPA hearing on ‘carbon pollution’ standards

Currently no scientific or logical basis for regulation of CO2 emissions, logician tells EPA Guest essay by Terry Oldberg Submitted to the EPA’s Public Listening Session on 111(d) Carbon Pollution Standards For Existing Power Plants  November 5, 2013 in San Francisco, California: I’ve come to this hearing to play the role of logician. Logicians are…

Climate models – worse than we thought

Observations Now Inconsistent with Climate Model Predictions for 25 (going on 35) Years By Paul C. “Chip” Knappenberger and Patrick J. Michaels Question: How long will the fantasy that climate models are reliable indicators of the earth’s climate evolution persist in face of overwhelming evidence to the contrary? Answer: Probably for as long as there…

‘Let’s face it. The climate has never been more boring.’

Why you won’t see headlines as climate science enters the doldrums Guest post by Dr. Robert G. Brown, Physics Department of Duke University (elevated from a  comment on this thread: RSS Reaches Santer’s 17 Years) This (17 years) is a non-event, just as 15 and 16 years were non-events. Non-events do not make headlines. Other…

Warmism: Credible Politics, Incredible Science

Guest essay by Paul Murphy Here’s Wikipedia’s simplified but canonical description of the greenhouse effect:   The greenhouse effect is a process by which thermal radiation from a planetary surface is absorbed by atmospheric greenhouse gases, and is re-radiated in all directions. Since part of this re-radiation is back towards the surface and the lower…

Statistical Analyses of Surface Temperatures in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report

Guest essay by Douglas J. Keenan Temperatures on Earth’s surface—i.e. where people live—are widely believed to provide evidence for global warming.  Demonstrating that those temperatures actually provide evidence, though, requires doing statistical analysis. All such statistical analyses of the temperatures that have been done so far are fatally flawed.  Astoundingly, those flaws are effectively acknowledged…

Good news from NOAA: coral reefs can adapt to warming

NOAA is dialing back the alarm a bit with realizations that nature has equipped these organisms with adaptation strategies that have served them over the millennia. New study suggests coral reefs may be able to adapt to moderate climate change Coral reefs may be able to adapt to moderate climate warming, improving their chance of…

Claim: ‘[in]ability to adapt to changes in climate patterns’ is causing losses in third world countries

From Inderscience Publishers and United Nations University: Loss and damage from climate change Despite attempts at adaption losses and damage from climate change are significant An open access special issue of the International Journal of Global Warming brings together, for the first time, empirical evidence of loss and damage from the perspective of affected people…

Life in a climate cataclysm box

Like hermit crabs, climate alarmists scramble to find new ways to hide, when put in a box Guest essay by Dennis M. Mitchell and David R. Legates As children playing on the beach, we discovered a fascinating behavioral pattern among hermit crabs. Place a dozen in a cardboard box, and within minutes the crabs exit…

Walport’s UK Energy Fantasy Does Not Add Up

By Paul Homewood Bishop Hill  had a post the other day, about a presentation on climate change given to the cabinet by Chief Scientist, Sir Mark Walport, seen at right. One of the slides shown was this one on various scenarios for electricity generation in the UK in the brave new world. (Sorry for the…

90 climate model projectons versus reality

Reality wins, it seems. Dr Roy Spencer writes: As seen in the following graphic, over the period of the satellite record (1979-2012), both the surface and satellite observations produce linear temperature trends which are below 87 of the 90 climate models used in the comparison.