I’m travelling the next few days, moderation will be spotty. After tomorrow, you may find that comments may go for 12 -18 hours or more without approval. In the meantime, you can debunk my own “hockey stick”. click for larger image Thanks to all who have come by and participated with comments and ideas! Best Regards, Anthony
I don’t have a lot of time today, but I found this interesting. Commenter “Basil” has offered this for discussion. So I’m putting this up without comment on my part. See also the decadal trends table below. Have at it folks. Click for full sized image 1979:01-1992:12 ——————————————— GISS 0.000783764** (0.094C/decade) HadCRUT 0.000460122** (0.055C/decade) RSS_MSU 0.000498964…
Just two days after sunspot 983 was reported, it has now disappeared. They just aren’t sticking around like they used to. This is yet another indication of the bottomed out solar minima we are in. It will be very interesting to see if the cycle 24 predictions by Hathway at NASA for an even stronger cycle…
As I mentioned in my post here about one of the satellite data sets (RSS) that showed a marked cooling globally in 2008, La Niña and PDO seem to be drivers of this change. Here is Joe D’Aleo’s take on it below. – Anthony By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM ICECAP Evidence is growing this La Niña will be a…
NOTE: Please note that part 2 is now online, please see it here. I recently plotted all four global temperature metrics (GISS, HadCRUT, UAH, RSS) to illustrate the magnitude of the global temperature drop we’ve seen in the last 12 months. At the end of that post, I mentioned that I’d like to get all…
I found this over on Jerry Pournelle’s Chaos Manor. It seemed fitting given the discussion as of late. Some say the world will end in fire, Some say in ice. From what I’ve tasted of desire I hold with those who favor fire. But if it had to perish twice, I think I know enough…
The Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. weblog today includes a letter from Dr. Joanne Simpson, recently retired. He calls her “among the most preeminent scientists of the last 100 years”. It seems that she really spoke her mind on the subject of climate models and the problems of the changing measurement environment around climate monitoring stations.…
Calling cycle 24, calling cycle 24……where are you? Image from SOHO, inset added by the author The SIDC in Belgium just issed an end to their “all quiet alert” :Issued: 2008 Feb 26 1255 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/quieta #——————————————————————–# # From the SIDC (RWC-Belgium): “ALL QUIET” ALERT # #——————————————————————–# END OF ALL QUIET ALERT…
The survey project continues to move forward, even in these cold and snowy winter months. I’m pleased to announce that we have just passed the 500 mark for surveyed stations. Now with 41.1% of the network surveyed comprising 502 stations surveyed so far, that leaves 719 to go out of 1221 stations nationwide. Some stations…
Mount Kilamanjaro – Tanzania, Africa – still snowy. Photo by Neil Modie, January 2008 Last week, I broke the story of a press release issued by NOAA where they publish an opinion smashing any link between hurricanes and global warming saying that “There is nothing in the U.S. hurricane damage record that indicates global warming…
Uh oh… You can click on the “animate this image link” under the photo to set it in motion. This photo from last night, the animated loop is current. More at http://www.kpay.com and click on weather link. Animate this image >>> Local Forecast – click graphic to get one for your city, 40-50+ mph winds expected…
From a NOAA press release that came out to me via email just minutes ago: —– Original Message —– From: “NOAA News Releases” <Press.Releases@noaa.gov> To: <awatts@xxxxx_.com> Sent: Thursday, February 21, 2008 12:27 PM Subject: NOAA: Increased Hurricane Losses Due to More People, Wealth Along Coastlines, Not Stronger Storms FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE – February 21, 2008*** NEWS…
January 2008 was an exceptional month for our planet, with a significant cooling, especially since January 2007 started out well above normal. January 2008 capped a 12 month period of global temperature drops on all of the major well respected indicators. I have reported in the past two weeks that HadCRUT, RSS, UAH, and GISS…
The global surface temperature anomaly data from the UK Hadley Climate Research Unit (Temp anomaly is plotted below) has just been released, and it shows a significant drop in the global temperature anomaly in January 2008, to just 0.034°C, just slightly above zero. This caps a full year of temperature drop from HadCRUT’s January 2007…
Two big things will/may happen in space Wednesday. A total lunar eclipse visible over much of the United States that evening, and a possible attempt by the NAVY to shoot down the defunct spy satellite USA193. “Lacrosse” radar spy satellite, the “old” model that USA193 was to replace. The “new” but failed USA193 satellite may…
Ultimate175 writes: Anthony, I enjoy perusing your site most days, and I’ve learned a lot. Any subject that carries this much political, social, and/or cultural baggage deserves all the skepticism it gets. Count me a skeptic. I was wondering, being rather new to this issue, if you could compile and post an “acronym definition” page…
My first 100K unique visits month, and the month isn’t even over yet! Stay tuned, more interesting topics coming your way…
While looking at information about the NASA GISS methodology of using night time DOD satellite photos to count street lights around weather stations to use as a way of assigning an “urban bias”, I came across this night time satellite photo: It occurs to me that North Korea may have some of the most “rural” weather…
I got to thinking from discussions with Steve Mosher and others at Climate Audit about just what sort of adjustments might be made to a place with a good record and little in the way of station moves, and that had changed little in 100 years. One place came to mind that I’ve visited; Cedarville,…
My post How not to measure temperature, part 51 was also cross posted over at Climate Audit, and has created quite a stir when Atmoz, who is at the University of Arizona, tried to demonstrate that the temperature spike shown in the GISS data at Lampasas, TX, was not due to the relocation next to…
As yet another indicator of the impact January 2008 has had on the Northern Hemisphere, we find this story from Greenland’s Sermitsiaq News: Minus 30 degrees Celsius. That’s how cold it’s been in large parts of western Greenland where the population has been bundling up in hats and scarves. At the same time, Denmark’s Meteorological…
While we’ve taken some detours looking at some of the amazing things that have happened globally for temperature in January, with another detour to the sun, our http://www.surfacestations.org volunteers continue their mission. This NOAA USHCN climate station of record #415018 in Lampasas, TX was found to be tucked between a building, and two parking lots, one…
I’m writing this after doing an exhaustive search to see what sort of solar activity has occurred lately, and I find there is little to report. With the exception of the briefly increased solar wind from a coronal hole, there is almost no significant solar activity. The sun has gone quiet. Really quiet. It is normal for…
Global warming gets blamed for a lot of things, like in the 90’s, when that California Cheese commercial came out blaming everything on “Its the El Ninnnnoooooo…..”. Every day we see more an more piling on of claims that the root cause of some problem is “global warming”. But when this one came along, it…
Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) Land-Ocean Global temperature index data was released yesterday for the month of January, 2008. Like we’ve reported before for other datasets, including the RSS and UAH satellite temperature anomalies, GISS also had a sharp drop in January. The GISS ΔT was -.75°C, which is larger than the satellite data…
I was looking for something else, and stumbled across this USA Today report from 2006: Record wind won’t be grandfathered in Winds atop Grandfather Mountain, near Linville, N.C., will not be certified by the National Weather Service. Late on Tuesday or early Wednesday, the anemometer that measures the wind speed at the visitors center topped…
UPDATE #3 02/15/08 I have received seismic data from MEVO for 10/24/07, and I’m now satisfied that no significant volcanic eruption occured on that date. So what we are seeing is either some meteological effect, such as perhaps a lenticular cloud being shredded and blown downwind, or perhaps a steam release without and eruption. I can’t…
There have been a number of indications that January 2008 has been an exceptional month for winter weather in not only North America, but the entire Northern Hemisphere. We’ve had anecdotal evidence of odd weather in the form of wire reports from Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and China where record setting cold and snow has been felt…
Good news; I’ve reached 100k visits per month traffic level according to my internal WordPress traffic counter. Getting mentioned on Instapundit has both good and bad effects. This blog is often in the daily top 40 WordPress blogs worldwide according to WordPress rankings. Bad news; with the amount of spam, visits, and comments I’m getting, (and the…
John Kerry’s comment about the recent tornadoes in the southeastern USA being caused by “global warming” has caused more than a few dustups on the Internet blogs in the last couple of days. So, from the perspective of a former TV meteorologist, I thought I’d share some of my thoughts about modern tornado statistics. Graph from NWS/NOAA. Smaller (F1) tornadoes seem to…
Early on in my http://www.surfacestations.org project I got complaints like “why don’t you ever show a cooling bias?”. Problem was, there weren’t a lot of cold bias stations to show. Other than shading, and in one case in Washington state where the station was getting mist from a dam spillway, there just weren’t many examples. This…
Let us give NOAA credit for making this release: “The average temperature in January 2008 was 30.5 F. This was -0.3 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average, the 49th coolest January in 114 years. The temperature trend for the period of record (1895 to present) is 0.1 degrees Fahrenheit per decade.” For those…
From the Business and Media Institute here is this blundering gem: Kerry appeared on MSNBC on February 6 to discuss storms that have killed at least 50 people throughout the Southeastern United States. So, of course, Kerry used the platform to advance global warming alarmism. “[I] don’t want to sort of leap into the larger…
You probably all know by now how much I dislike despise Windows Vista, even though I’ve been a Microsoft customer and systems integrator for years, this OS is useless for the kind of work I do and is a technical support nightmare. I only sell systems built on Windows XP for that reason. Well now…
University of Alabama, Huntsville (John Christy) just published their UAH lower troposphere data for January 2008. Like the RSS data set, it shows a negative anomaly, and a steep decline in the past 12 months though the magnitude of the anomaly is slightly lower at ∆T -.588 than the RSS ∆T -.629 degrees Centigrade. I’ve plotted…
UPDATE – see new graph of global ∆T for the past year below. There has been a global drop in temperature of 0.63 degrees Centigrade in the past 12 months. Of course we already have had a heads up from all the wire reports around the world talking about the significant winter weather events that…
Ok, the title is not what you think. Recently Tata Motors of India announced they’d be offering a fuel efficient vehicle (50MPG) priced at $2500 USD that almost any family in India could afford to buy and to operate. Called the Tata Nano, it is seen as enabling people to move up from the lower…
From one of our commenters: “I really appreciate the sober tone and the reasonable level of discussion in this forum – highly unusual for a climate discussion, my sincere compliments.” – Loquor
In the late summer and early fall of 2007, there were a number of alarming media reports about the arctic sea ice melting. Additionally, there were predictions that it would not recover to its previous levels. But, we have this graph charting the rise and fall of arctic sea ice for the last 365 days,…
Below is an article from TheStatsBlog that I found interesting. Here is what they say about the organization behind it. Since its founding in 1994, the non-profit, non-partisan Statistical Assessment Service (STATS) has become a much-valued resource on the use and abuse of science and statistics in the media. Our goals are to correct scientific misinformation in…
